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But we don't work for the system, fundamentally, we work for ourselves, and the system incentivizes us to work for it by aligning our constraints: if you work that direction, you'll get that reward.

Overconfident people ofc do not contribute positively to the system, but they skew the system reward's calculation towards them: I swear I've done that work in that direction, where's my reward ?

In a sense, they are extremely successful: they managed to do very low effort, get very high reward, help themselves like all of us but at a much better profit margin, by sacrificing a system that, let's be honest, none of us care about really.

Your problem maybe, is that you swallowed the little BS the system fed you while incentivizing you: that the system matters more than yourself, at least at a greater extent than healthy ?

And you see the same thing with AI: these things convince people so deeply of their intelligence that it blew to such proportion that NVidia is now worth trillions. I had a colleague mumbling yesterday that his wife now speaks more with ChatGPT than him. Overconfidence is a positive attribute... for oneself.



Overconfident people are conquerors. Conquerors do not contribute positively to a harmonious system, true, but I'm not so sure we can glean the system is supposed to be harmonious.

If one contributes "positively" to the system, everyone's value increases and the solution becomes more homogenized. Once the system is homogenized enough, it becomes vulnerable to adversity from an outside force.

If the system is not harmonious/non-homoginized, the attacker would be drawn to the most powerful point in the system.

Overconfident people aren't evil, they're simply stressing the system to make sure it can handle adversity from an outside force. They're saying: "listen, I'm going to take what you have, and you should be so happy that's all I'm taking."

So I think overconfidence is a positive attribute for the system as well as for the overconfident individual. It's not a positive attribute for the local parties getting run over by the overconfident individual.


Not talking about THE system or any system in particular same way gaming the system doesn’t refer to any system but just cheating in general. And if you like overconfident people good for you, I can’t stand them because they’re hollow with no basis in reality, flawed like everyone, just pumping out their egos with hot air. And your reasoning that overconfidence is a positive attribute doesn’t make much sense to me but we’re entitled to our own opinions.


Yeah this is what I meant, both in the behavior being intelligent and it being unfortunate that this is the case. It’d be nice if the most self-maximizing behavior were also the best behavior for the global system, but it doesn’t seem that it is.




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