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The war in Ukraine is rarely analysed in the media, which cover focusses public opinion on superficial and emotional readings (one might say this is organised propaganda).

Why are the different players acting the way they are and what are their interests? These are the interesing questions.

So far the war seems to have served US interests quite well with the US appearing to be the one clear winner. Perhaps a way to estimate next moves is to guess how things can eveolve from now and which scenarios serve the US' interests best. If they don't see further gains they might decide to freeze the situation but I doubt they would want anything to be seem as a Russian victory (though it'd be hard not to at this point).



Anders Puck Nielsen has some very good (and directly to the point) videos about this, including Russia's plan for victory (which isn't land area).

He is a military analyst working for the Royal Danish Defence College.

https://www.youtube.com/@anderspuck/videos




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