Even without SpaceX you'd be wrong. However, with SpaceX, you're mega wrong. Falcon 9 had already completely changed the cost function to space. Starship, however, is very set to completely turn the industry upside down.
I love Elon and his antics but competing against the space programs of military super powers China and Russia will not work in the end. State power is ultimately orders of magnitude greater than a single corporation's power.
